Telecom · 4 min read
Where Does a Prepaid Wireless Store Fit? Applying Census Rules to 25 US Downtowns
Published October 10, 2026 by the Demografics team
Prepaid wireless stores, such as authorized Cricket, Metro by T-Mobile and Boost Mobile dealers, look for a recognizable customer profile: dense neighborhoods, moderate household incomes, many renters and many young adults. This article applies that profile, as encoded in the Demografics industry fit rules, to the area within 3 miles of City Hall in 25 major US cities.
The rules we applied
The score starts at 55 and adds points for each favorable condition, up to a maximum of 98:
- Density above 5,000 residents per square mile: +15 (above 3,000: +8).
- Median household income between $32,000 and $75,000: +18; $75,000–$100,000: +5; above $100,000: −10, because prepaid demand falls off in affluent areas.
- More than 55% of homes renter-occupied: +10.
- More than 25% of residents aged 18–34: +10.
These are transparent rules of thumb, not a sales forecast. They say whether an area's residents match the typical profile; they do not account for competing stores, rents, visibility or foot traffic.
Results
| City | Fit score | Grade | Median household income | Renter-occupied | Aged 18–34 | Residents per sq mi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio, TX | 98 | A+ | $44,326 | 57% | 28.3% | 5,058 |
| Phoenix, AZ | 98 | A+ | $55,779 | 65% | 33.4% | 3,580 |
| St. Louis, MO | 98 | A+ | $57,251 | 65% | 33.7% | 3,133 |
| Los Angeles, CA | 98 | A+ | $58,055 | 87% | 33.5% | 15,831 |
| Baltimore, MD | 98 | A+ | $66,906 | 61% | 33.9% | 8,334 |
| Minneapolis, MN | 98 | A+ | $68,148 | 68% | 43.6% | 9,215 |
| Miami, FL | 98 | A+ | $68,602 | 75% | 27.5% | 8,843 |
| Philadelphia, PA | 95 | A+ | $76,216 | 58% | 39.3% | 17,120 |
| Atlanta, GA | 95 | A+ | $84,412 | 60% | 44.0% | 6,734 |
| Dallas, TX | 95 | A+ | $84,746 | 75% | 42.8% | 5,195 |
| San Diego, CA | 95 | A+ | $91,894 | 69% | 35.1% | 6,166 |
| Denver, CO | 95 | A+ | $92,500 | 64% | 41.8% | 8,225 |
| Portland, OR | 95 | A+ | $95,389 | 64% | 33.8% | 6,653 |
| Detroit, MI | 93 | A+ | $42,056 | 76% | 33.6% | 2,336 |
| Charlotte, NC | 88 | A+ | $93,497 | 59% | 40.2% | 4,389 |
| Houston, TX | 80 | A | $102,832 | 61% | 38.1% | 6,695 |
| Boston, MA | 80 | A | $106,389 | 71% | 45.2% | 14,329 |
| Seattle, WA | 80 | A | $117,010 | 69% | 43.6% | 7,919 |
| Chicago, IL | 80 | A | $121,719 | 60% | 43.5% | 13,324 |
| Washington, DC | 80 | A | $128,861 | 66% | 42.1% | 12,718 |
| New York, NY | 80 | A | $135,675 | 74% | 34.7% | 34,137 |
| San Francisco, CA | 80 | A | $152,120 | 72% | 32.9% | 17,313 |
| Riverside, CA | 78 | B+ | $77,833 | 52% | 35.4% | 3,962 |
| Tampa, FL | 78 | B+ | $80,919 | 53% | 32.2% | 3,548 |
| Orlando, FL | 78 | B+ | $80,921 | 51% | 30.6% | 3,771 |
22 of the 25 downtowns score 80 or more: San Antonio, Phoenix, St. Louis, Los Angeles, Baltimore, Minneapolis, Miami, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Dallas, San Diego, Denver, Portland, Detroit, Charlotte, Houston, Boston, Seattle, Chicago, Washington, New York and San Francisco. The 3 lower-scoring cities miss on: Riverside (density at or below 5,000 per sq mi and renter share at or below 55%); Tampa (density at or below 5,000 per sq mi and renter share at or below 55%); Orlando (density at or below 5,000 per sq mi and renter share at or below 55%). High income alone does not sink a score: Houston, Boston, Seattle, Chicago, Washington, New York and San Francisco have downtown median incomes above $100,000, which costs 10 points, yet still score 80 or more because their cores are dense, renter-heavy and young. That is a limit of simple rules worth knowing: in an affluent core, a prepaid store would depend more on commuters, students and visitors than these resident figures suggest.
Fit at 1, 3 and 5 miles
The same rules give different answers at different radii. Widening from 3 to 5 miles raises the fit score in 2 cities (Philadelphia and Orlando) and lowers it in 8 (Dallas, Atlanta, Minneapolis, Tampa, St. Louis, San Antonio, Portland and Denver).
| City | 1 mile | 3 miles | 5 miles |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York, NY | 80 | 80 | 80 |
| Dallas, TX | 95 | 95 | 88 |
| Houston, TX | 95 | 80 | 80 |
| Philadelphia, PA | 95 | 95 | 98 |
| Atlanta, GA | 98 | 95 | 78 |
| Boston, MA | 80 | 80 | 80 |
| Phoenix, AZ | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| San Francisco, CA | 95 | 80 | 80 |
| Detroit, MI | 98 | 93 | 93 |
| Seattle, WA | 95 | 80 | 80 |
| Minneapolis, MN | 95 | 98 | 85 |
| Tampa, FL | 95 | 78 | 70 |
| Baltimore, MD | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| St. Louis, MO | 98 | 98 | 93 |
| Orlando, FL | 88 | 78 | 91 |
| Charlotte, NC | 95 | 88 | 88 |
| San Antonio, TX | 83 | 98 | 91 |
| Portland, OR | 98 | 95 | 70 |
| Los Angeles, CA | 98 | 98 | 98 |
| Chicago, IL | 80 | 80 | 80 |
| Washington, DC | 80 | 80 | 80 |
| Miami, FL | 95 | 98 | 98 |
| Riverside, CA | 98 | 78 | 78 |
| San Diego, CA | 95 | 95 | 95 |
| Denver, CO | 95 | 95 | 85 |
Before choosing a site
- Count competitors. A strong demographic fit with five carrier stores already within a mile is a very different opportunity from one with none.
- Look past the downtown. Within the same city, neighborhoods 3 to 5 miles out often fit the prepaid profile better than the core.
- Check the specific address: these figures describe a 3-mile circle, and conditions change block by block.
Sources
- U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2018–2022 (tables B01001, B01002, B01003, B11001, B19001, B19013, B25003, C24050).
- U.S. Census Bureau, TIGERweb 2020 census tract boundaries (used to find the tracts inside each trade radius).
- Demografics industry fit rules (prepaid wireless category), as published in this article.
More data studies
- Who Lives Within 3 Miles of Downtown? Census Profiles of 25 Major US Cities
- 1, 3 or 5 Miles? How a Trade Radius Changes the Picture in 25 US Downtowns
- Is Downtown Richer or Poorer Than the Metro? Income in 25 US Cities Compared
- Where Young Adults Live: The 18–34 Share in the 50 Largest US Metros and 25 Downtowns